Amazing Nadal, surprising Schiavone shine in City of Light

Tennis Betting Lines

06/07/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Order was somewhat restored with Rafael Nadal titling in Paris, but the women's edition of the 2010 French Open failed to make a whole lot of sense, considering Francesca Schiavone somehow won it all on the crushed red brick at Roland Garros.

The 24-year-old Nadal reclaimed his thrown as he rolled to a fifth French Open title in six years. He exacted some revenge on Robin Soderling in this year's men's final, as the strapping Spaniard easily straight-setted the Swede who shocked him in the fourth round at RG a year ago, when Nadal was battling two very sore knees.

The demonstrative Schiavone, on the other hand, came out of nowhere to become the first-ever Italian woman in the 126-year history of Grand Slam tennis to not only reach, but win a major title, which she did by ousting Aussie Samantha Stosur in straight sets in the championship match.

Stosur charged into her first-ever Grand Slam final with a sequence of victories over former world No. 1 and four-time French Open champ Justine Henin, in the fourth round, reigning world No. 1 and former titlist Serena Williams, in the quarterfinals, and another former top-ranked star Jelena Jankovic, in the semis.

So it would only stand to reason that Stosur would cruise past Schiavone in the final, right?

Wrong!

Back over on the men's side, everyone was anticipating a fourth French Open final between Nadal and the reigning No. 1, at the time, Federer, but Federer failed in his attempt to reach a fifth straight Roland Garros finale, as Soderling stunned the 2009 champion in the quarterfinals last week. Soderling's second shocker here in two years prevented Federer from extending his incredible Grand Slam semifinal appearance streak to 24. The amazing Swiss had reached a record 23 straight major semis before falling to the big-hitting Soderling. He hadn't failed to reach a major semi since the 2004 French Open, which was a third-round exit against three-time Roland Garros titlist Gustavo Kuerten that year.

Don't feel too bad for Roger, though, he's still the men's all-time Grand Slam king, with 16 majors, and the reigning Aussie Open and Wimbledon champ.

The ultra-fit Nadal, meanwhile, continues to serve as a human backboard, returning just about everything that lands on his side of the net. He simply imposes his will, bludgeoning you (well, not you) all the while with one powerful groundstroke after another.

There's really no secret to his success. Rafa's just gonna outwork ya and outhit ya, especially on the dirt.

With his latest exploits, Nadal is now a seven-time major champion, not to mention an Olympic gold medalist, and only the second man in the Open Era (since 1968) to corral five French Open titles. The legendary Bjorn Borg is still the leader with six championships at Roland Garros...but Rafa's now knockin' on the door.

Nadal, who is the first man to win five French Opens in a six-year span, had to overcome quite a bit over the last year in order to return to the top. His '09 season was basically derailed by knee and abdominal injuries. Not only was he shocked by Soderling at the French last year, he was forced to pull out of Wimbledon and unable to defend his title there, which he earned in 2008 by outlasting Federer in the final in what many people consider to be the greatest tennis match of all-time.

Nadal headed to Paris having won a trio of ATP Masters titles, all on his beloved red clay, and the first of those titles, which came in Monte Carlo, marked his first title of any kind in 11 long months while still on the mend from the knee and abdominal issues.

On Sunday, Rafa also supplanted Federer atop the men's rankings, as be became only the third man in history to regain the No. 1 ranking after surrendering it. The other two gentlemen were Federer and Ivan Lendl. Federer regained the top spot last year after losing it to Rafa in '08.

Nadal and Federer squared off in three straight French Open finals, from 2006-08, with the Spaniard winning on all three occasions. When Nadal was knocked out by Soderling last year, it opened the door for Federer to capture his first French championship and become only the sixth man in history to secure the career Grand Slam, or all four major titles, which he did when he handled Soderling in the finale.

Unfortunately, a Federer-Nadal rematch just wasn't in the offing this time around.

Note: Nadal won all 21 of his sets en route to his latest title at RG and 40th career title overall.

Back over on the women's side, all hell was breaking loose.

Most were anticipating a mouth-watering Serena-Henin quarterfinal in Paris, but the rising Stosur made sure that didn't happen. The big-serving Aussie, once regarded as just a doubles specialist, stunningly knocked out both future Hall-of-Famers in back-to-back outings.

Henin was playing in her first French Open in three years. She "retired" from tennis just two weeks before Roland Garros 2008 commenced, as she was the reigning world No. 1 and reigning French Open champ at the time.

The sweet-swingin' Belgian star returned to the WTA Tour back in January, and wound up losing to her arch-rival Serena in the Aussie Open final.

Serena and Henin weren't the only disappointments in Paris, as world No. 2 Wimbledon runner-up Venus Williams failed to get past the fourth round (Nadia Petrova) and two-time major finalist Elena Dementieva gave way to the diminutive Schiavone, and a most-untimely injury, in the final four.

Dementieva, considered to be the best player on the women's tour without a major title, dropped the first set in her semifinal against Schiavone and then had to quit due to a crippling left calf injury, as she left Court Chatrier in tears last week. It seemed like a golden opportunity for Dementieva to break through for her first-ever Grand Slam title...but no one told her left calf.

Dementieva and Jankovic are the two best players without a major title among the ladies, and Jankovic also lost out on a great chance last week when she was manhandled (or is it womanhandled?) by the ever-improving Stosur in the semis.

That could have been a very interesting final between the former U.S. Open runner-up Jankovic and the former U.S. Open and French Open finalist Dementieva...but Schiavone and Stosur ignored the script.

The uber-surprising Schiavone, who will turn 30 on June 23, is now all the way up to No. 6 on the planet thanks to her improbable, if not impossible, run in Paris, where she won as a 17th seed. The only other time a woman captured the French Open seeded lower than 10th was back in 1933. That's only 77 years ago!

At 29, Schiavone became the oldest woman to capture her first Grand Slam title in 41 years and she's now the oldest woman in 12 years to crack the top 10 for the first time in her career.

So how did the Milan native win seven straight matches in Paris?

I'm really not sure.

She doesn't have any real weapons, other than grit and speed, but she does get players off their game with a slower pace, wicked slice and a ton of spin. If she's going to succeed anywhere, it would have to be on the slow red clay.

Will Schiavone be a one-Slam wonder, like an Iva Majoli?

Probably.

In a few weeks, she'll try to become the first woman in eight years to win the French Open and Wimbledon back-to-back.

Note: Schiavone lost in her first eight WTA Tour finals, from 2000-06, before finally claiming a championship in Austria in 2007. The French Open marks only her fourth title since joining the circuit 12 years ago.

As far as last year's women's finalists were concerned, 2009 champion Svetlana Kuznetsova was ousted by fellow Russian Maria Kirilenko in the third round, while '09 runner-up and former world No. 1 Dinara Safina was shown the door in Paris in the first round by 39-year-old Japanese Kimiko Date Krumm.

That's rough.

If you're looking for disappointments on the men's side, I guess you don't have to look any further than Federer. How else can you describe it other than "disappointing," when the world No. 1 and reigning champ exits a tournament in the round of eight?

Novak Djokovic also disappointed when he blew a two-sets-to-none lead against Austrian veteran Jurgen Melzer in the quarters, as the surprising Melzer landed in his first-ever major semi, only to lose to his fellow lefthander Nadal.

Some other underachieving men were No. 4 Aussie Open runner-up Andy Murray and 2009 Wimbledon runner-up Andy Roddick. Murray succumbed to big-hitting Czech Tomas Berdych in the round of 16, while Roddick gave way to unheralded Russian Teimuraz Gabashvili in the third round. Roddick had his best-ever showing in Paris a year ago when he landed in the fourth round. Berdych, like Melzer last week, became a first-time Grand Slam semifinalist.

In addition to Melzer and Berdych, Russian Mikhail Youzhny and Spaniard Nicolas Almagro enjoyed great stays in Paris by reaching the quarters.

The biggest surprise in the women's draw, outside of Schiavone, was unseeded 22-year-old Kazakhstanian Yaroslava Shvedova, who soared all the way into the quarters before losing to Jankovic.

The '10 Grand Slam season will resume in two weeks on the famed grass at Wimbledon, where the defending champions are Federer and Serena. Maybe Federer and Nadal will resume their classic rivalry at the All England Club. And maybe Serena and Henin will do the same.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.

Kurt Warner to start, Matt Leinart to watch

Despite the debate that's swirling , Kurt Warner will remain the starting quarterback for the Arizona Cardinals, coach Dennis Green said today. The Arizona Cardinals are the +7 point underdog at online sportsbook MySportsbook.com for this Sunday's game.

Green's comment came in a statement released by the team following an ESPN report that Green decided that rookie Matt Leinart would replace Warner as starter for Sunday's game at Atlanta.

"Generally talking about the starting lineup is not something we do," Green told the AP. "However, given the speculation that was out there we want to make it clear. We're disappointed after last week, but we still expect to be a playoff football team and we fully expect Kurt Warner to be the quarterback that leads us. That has not changed."

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your bet on football needs.